Algaida vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ACM
4 - 2
ALG
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 0
PDS
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SSA
3 - 3
ALG
31%
22%
48%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
1 - 1
SHO
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALG
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FER
3 - 2
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SIN
1 - 1
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FER
2 - 3
PCR
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
2 - 2
FER
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FER
0 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |