Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 3
KET
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
2 - 0
ALF
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 3
KIN
26%
22%
53%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
CHO
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 2
KID
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
KID
2 - 2
YOR
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
KID
1 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
KID
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
STA
1 - 0
KID
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |