Alfreton Town vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
FYL
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 3
ALF
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 0
LEA
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CLE
1 - 0
ALF
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 1
AFC
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
SOL
22%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
LEA
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |