Alfreton Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 2
NOT
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
MIC
1 - 2
ALF
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 4
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 3
YOR
27%
25%
49%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
5 - 0
ALF
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
BEL
2 - 3
CHE
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
DOV
1 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
CHE
22%
25%
54%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 4
TOW
28%
25%
46%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
4 - 0
EBB
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |