Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 1
ALF
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 2
PIN
29%
22%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALF
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 3
CAM
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ROM
3 - 0
ALF
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
SAM
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 1
JES
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JES
1 - 2
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 2
JES
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |