Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 0
AAA
13%
21%
66%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 1
SAA
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 4
AAA
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
5 - 1
SGD
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SAA
3 - 0
ROT
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ROT
2 - 0
SGD
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
KOL
3 - 2
ROT
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
KSC
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EIN
6 - 2
ROT
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |