Alemannia Aachen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
S04
2 - 1
AAA
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AAA
0 - 1
BOR
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AAA
2 - 4
BOR
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
AAA
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AAA
3 - 1
RWA
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DIE
2 - 0
VER
37%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 1
DIE
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SPR
0 - 5
DIE
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 3
ROD
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ROT
5 - 2
DIE
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |