Alegría vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 2
ALE
44%
23%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALE
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
HAU
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFR
0 - 5
ALE
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
ARI
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AMU
2 - 1
ZUI
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
AMU
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AMU
1 - 2
PAS
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
1 - 0
AMU
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AMU
3 - 2
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |