Alebrijes de Oaxaca II vs Zitacuaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
4º
12
2º
7º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 0
ALE
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
MAZ
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CAA
1 - 0
ALE
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
HUR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
ALE
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 3
THM
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 1
PDC
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 0
ZIT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ZIT
7 - 0
CAA
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
ZIT
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |