Alebrijes de Oaxaca II vs Huracanes Izcalli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
4º
15
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
ALE
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
10 - 0
CCM
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAL
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
PDC
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Huracanes Izcalli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
ZIT
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PDC
3 - 1
HUR
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 1
MAZ
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
4 - 2
CAA
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
THM
3 - 1
HUR
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |