Alebrijes de Oaxaca II vs Cañoneros Marina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
4º
4
7º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAL
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
PDC
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
PDC
1 - 2
ALE
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
THM
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cañoneros Marina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 2
ZIT
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 2
PDC
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MAZ
3 - 2
CCM
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 0
CAA
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 2
CCM
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |