Aldershot Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 1
HAL
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 0
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
ALD
3 - 1
DOV
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 1
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 3
ALD
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
WRE
0 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
NUN
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
HAL
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
5 - 3
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 2
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |