Aldershot Town vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
75.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DAG
2 - 5
ALD
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALD
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
OXF
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
ALD
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 6
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 2
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
22%
24%
54%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 0
NOR
87%
10%
3%
|
96 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 3
BAS
81%
13%
6%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |