Aldershot Town vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALD
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 3
OXF
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 0
ALD
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 0
PLY
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
ALD
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
STA
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |