Aldeano vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
SMC
2 - 1
ALD
26%
24%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
VAR
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
7 - 0
ALD
84%
11%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
AGO
35%
26%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 0
ALD
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CDF
1 - 2
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 0
CDF
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SMC
3 - 1
CDF
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDF
2 - 6
VAR
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 0
CDF
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |