Alcoyano vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ELD
3 - 1
ALC
18%
26%
56%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
PXD
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
MLL
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ALC
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
MUR
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 1
BAD
67%
22%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
ATB
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
HOS
0 - 1
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 2
SEV
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 1
UES
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |