Alcione vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ACP
0 - 2
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
5 - 1
ALC
95%
4%
1%
|
28 | 88 | 60 | -2 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
COR
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
RAV
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 2
ASD
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |