Alcione vs Borgo San Donnino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
ALC
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 3
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ACP
0 - 2
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
BSD
0 - 0
COR
32%
22%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 3
BSD
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BSD
0 - 0
USR
26%
22%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MEZ
0 - 0
BSD
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
BSD
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |