Alcides vs TVC '28 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DEZ
1 - 0
ALC
52%
21%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
STE
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
QUI
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
TVC '28
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TVC
0 - 2
BVC
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RIG
5 - 1
TVC
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TVC
0 - 0
ORI
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 2
TVC
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TVC
0 - 3
DEZ
53%
21%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |