RSD Alcalá vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
16º
4º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CVI
0 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
46%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
POZ
0 - 0
ALC
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
GET
35%
27%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 2
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 4
CDM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
TRJ
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CDM
33%
24%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 3
CDM
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |