CD Alcalá vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALM
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 3
UBC
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
DBN
0 - 0
ALC
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
VVA
1 - 1
CDL
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CCF
0 - 0
VVA
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
VVA
1 - 1
ALM
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 0
VVA
34%
29%
38%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
VVA
2 - 1
CAD
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |