Alcains vs Belmonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ADM
0 - 1
ALC
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
FUN
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PED
0 - 5
ALC
16%
20%
65%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
OLE
1 - 0
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
EST
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Belmonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 7
EST
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VVR
3 - 3
BEL
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
ADC
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
BEL
23%
22%
56%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
OLE
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |