Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 0
ALB
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
OIT
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
3 - 1
SAG
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALB
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
SHO
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SHO
0 - 1
VEN
37%
25%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 1
NAG
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SHO
2 - 2
URA
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |