Albirex Niigata vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 2
GAM
33%
25%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FCY
3 - 0
ALB
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 1
KAW
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
ALB
4 - 1
SHI
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
ALB
29%
30%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
KYO
3 - 0
VIS
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 0
KYO
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
KYO
1 - 2
FCY
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SHO
2 - 2
KYO
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
KYO
0 - 1
CER
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |