Alberite vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VAL
4 - 1
ALB
82%
12%
5%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ALB
2 - 1
AGO
37%
28%
35%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ALB
2 - 0
LOU
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AOI
2 - 1
ALB
64%
23%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ALU
3 - 2
CDU
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALU
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ALU
2 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SMC
5 - 3
ALU
37%
26%
37%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ALU
2 - 4
IZA
31%
29%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |