Albany Creek vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 3
ALB
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 2
TOO
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALB
6 - 2
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
STO
1 - 2
ALB
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +3 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOO
1 - 1
ALB
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
2 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TOO
3 - 4
GEO
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
STO
2 - 2
GEO
10%
15%
76%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GEO
5 - 3
TAR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GEO
2 - 1
GRA
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |