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La Liga. Matchday 27

Alavés Cádiz
71 ELO 69
-47% Tilt -22%
214º General ELO ranking 249º
19º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Alavés
36.2%
Draw
29.4%
Cádiz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
Alavés
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.1%
36.2%
Draw
0-0
21.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
36.2%
29.4%
Win probability
Cádiz
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alavés
-20%
-16%
Cádiz

Basic stats

52
48
POS
10
10
SOT
2
5
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
7
21
FRK
71
69
ELO
0.8
0.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Alavés
Their league position
Cádiz
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
12º
20º
15º
44
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético
86
86
100%
Real Madrid
84
84
100%
Barcelona
79
79
100%
Sevilla
77
77
100%
R. Sociedad
62
62
100%
Real Betis
61
61
100%
Villarreal
58
58
100%
Celta
53
53
100%
Granada
46
46
50%
Athletic
10º
46
46
10º
50%
Osasuna
11º
44
44
11º
50%
Cádiz
12º
44
44
12º
50%
Valencia
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Levante
14º
41
41
14º
100%
Getafe
15º
38
38
15º
50%
Alavés
16º
38
38
16º
50%
Elche
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Huesca
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Real Valladolid
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Eibar
20º
30
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Alavés
Cádiz
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Alavés
ALA
Cádiz
CAD
Villarreal
VIL
Atlético
ATM
Getafe
GET
Eibar
EIB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alavés
Alavés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
ALA
Alavés
1 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
53%
25%
22%
1915 1840 75 -2
08 Mar. 2021
BET
Real Betis
3 - 2
Alavés
ALA
61%
22%
17%
1922 2450 528 -7
27 Feb. 2021
ALA
Alavés
0 - 1
Osasuna
OSA
46%
27%
27%
1934 2081 -147 -12
21 Feb. 2021
RSO
R. Sociedad
4 - 0
Alavés
ALA
61%
22%
18%
1945 2601 656 -11
13 Feb. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
5 - 1
Alavés
ALA
86%
10%
4%
1948 3672 1724 -2

Matches

Cádiz
Cádiz
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
ALA
Alavés
1 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
53%
25%
22%
1840 1915 75 +2
06 Mar. 2021
CAD
Cádiz
1 - 0
Eibar
EIB
42%
28%
31%
1827 2089 -262 +14
28 Feb. 2021
CAD
Cádiz
0 - 1
Real Betis
BET
35%
27%
37%
1835 2441 -606 -8
21 Feb. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
86%
10%
4%
1824 3625 1801 +11
15 Feb. 2021
CAD
Cádiz
0 - 4
Athletic
ATH
35%
27%
38%
1838 2554 -716 -14