Alanga Qarshi vs Istiklol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alanga Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 1
PAK
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
UDJ
2 - 1
ALA
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HOT
0 - 1
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
FKZ
2 - 1
ALA
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 2
ALA
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Istiklol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
SHE
3 - 1
IST
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
IST
2 - 3
MAS
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
IST
0 - 3
SHO
24%
24%
51%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
IST
3 - 2
HOT
54%
22%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
IST
4 - 2
FKK
61%
20%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |