LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
37
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 4
LDA
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 1
NER
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
LDA
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
NER
4 - 0
LDA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LDA
4 - 0
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSH
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
GRE
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PFC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |