Al-Watan Club vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Watan Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AMT
1 - 1
WAT
66%
21%
13%
|
23 | 75 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
WAT
1 - 1
ALA
24%
27%
49%
|
21 | 75 | 54 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ASA
2 - 2
WAT
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 68 | 48 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
WAT
0 - 2
MLB
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
AAA
1 - 3
WAT
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TRI
1 - 1
ADS
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 18 | 57 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AMT
1 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 0
ALA
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 2
TRI
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
3 - 0
MLB
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |