Al-Sailiya vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
12º
12º
18
9º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Sailiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 5
SAI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 2
GHA
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
WAK
5 - 0
SAI
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 2
AHL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 0
SAI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAA
2 - 0
UMM
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AHL
3 - 1
UMM
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
QAT
4 - 1
UMM
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ADS
3 - 1
UMM
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UMM
1 - 1
SAI
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |