Qatar Cup Semi-finals

Al-Sadd vs Al-Ahli SC analysis

Al-Sadd Al-Ahli SC
68 ELO 61
25.4% Tilt 31%
1917º General ELO ranking 2492º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.2%
Al-Sadd
19.7%
Draw
23.1%
Al-Ahli SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Al-Sadd
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
23.1%
Win probability
Al-Ahli SC
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Sadd
+54%
-8%
Al-Ahli SC

ELO progression

Al-Sadd
Al-Ahli SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Sadd
Al-Sadd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2025
SAD
Al-Sadd
5 - 0
Al-Ahli SC
AHL
52%
22%
26%
66 64 2 0
11 Apr. 2025
SAD
Al-Sadd
3 - 0
Al-Khor
KHO
60%
21%
19%
66 61 5 0
05 Apr. 2025
RAY
Al-Rayyan
1 - 2
Al-Sadd
SAD
39%
24%
38%
66 66 0 0
29 Mar. 2025
SAD
Al-Sadd
3 - 0
Al-Wakrah
WAK
53%
23%
24%
66 66 0 0
10 Mar. 2025
SAD
Al-Sadd
3 - 1
Al-Wasl
WAS
32%
22%
46%
67 75 8 -1

Matches

Al-Ahli SC
Al-Ahli SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2025
SAD
Al-Sadd
5 - 0
Al-Ahli SC
AHL
52%
22%
26%
64 66 2 0
11 Apr. 2025
AHL
Al-Ahli SC
0 - 1
Umm Salal
UMM
57%
22%
21%
64 60 4 0
04 Apr. 2025
ALS
Al Shahaniya
2 - 3
Al-Ahli SC
AHL
46%
25%
30%
63 66 3 +1
29 Mar. 2025
AHL
Al-Ahli SC
1 - 0
Al-Rayyan
RAY
40%
24%
36%
63 66 3 0
08 Mar. 2025
ADS
Al-Duhail
4 - 2
Al-Ahli SC
AHL
54%
23%
24%
63 66 3 0