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Iraq League. Matchday 11

Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf analysis

Al-Qasim Al Najaf
17 ELO 18
-23% Tilt 19%
3622º General ELO ranking 3601º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.7%
Al-Qasim
28.8%
Draw
38.6%
Al Najaf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
Al-Qasim
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.6%
Win probability
Al Najaf
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Qasim
-41%
-32%
Al Najaf

Points and table prediction

Al-Qasim
Their league position
Al Najaf
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
17º
14º
29
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al Shorta
53
54
100%
Al Talaba
37
39
39%
Naft Al-Wasat
37
39
39%
Al Zawraa
35
39
39%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
34
36
100%
Zakho
30
31
68%
Al Najaf
29
30
68%
Naft Al-Basra
26
28
99%
Al Naft
26
27
96%
Al Sinaah
10º
24
25
10º
46%
Naft Maysan
11º
23
25
11º
54%
Al Kahrabaa
12º
21
23
12º
50%
Erbil
13º
21
23
13º
50%
Al-Qasim
14º
20
21
14º
68%
Baghdad FC
15º
19
20
15º
66%
Al Karkh
16º
17
17
17º
41%
Newroz SC
17º
17
18
16º
39%
Al Diwaniya
18º
15
17
18º
33%
Al Minaa
19º
14
15
19º
89%
Samarra
20º
4
5
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Al-Qasim
Al Najaf
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Al Najaf
ALN
Al-Qasim
QAS
Al Diwaniya
DIW
Samarra
SFC
Al Sinaah
ALS
Al Talaba
ALT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Qasim
Al-Qasim
1%
X%
2%
ELO QAS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2021
ALS
Al Shorta
0 - 0
Al-Qasim
QAS
47%
27%
26%
235 374 139 0
16 Nov. 2021
QAS
Al-Qasim
0 - 0
Baghdad FC
BAG
47%
27%
26%
235 202 33 0
04 Nov. 2021
ALM
Al Minaa
2 - 2
Al-Qasim
QAS
45%
27%
28%
235 235 0 0
30 Oct. 2021
QAS
Al-Qasim
2 - 2
Al Karkh
KAR
47%
27%
26%
236 131 105 0
25 Oct. 2021
NSC
Newroz SC
3 - 2
Al-Qasim
QAS
45%
27%
28%
237 244 7 -1

Matches

Al Najaf
Al Najaf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2021
ALS
Al Sinaah
0 - 2
Al Najaf
ALN
45%
27%
28%
247 249 2 +2
16 Nov. 2021
ALN
Al Najaf
1 - 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALQ
42%
27%
31%
246 396 -150 +1
04 Nov. 2021
WAS
Naft Al-Wasat
0 - 1
Al Najaf
ALN
46%
27%
26%
244 296 52 +1
31 Oct. 2021
ALN
Al Najaf
0 - 1
Al Naft
ALN
45%
27%
28%
245 246 -1 -1
26 Oct. 2021
ZAK
Zakho
0 - 1
Al Najaf
ALN
45%
27%
29%
244 160 -84 +1