Al-Nassr vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
2º
59
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 0
ADA
82%
13%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
ALR
1 - 4
ALN
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
4 - 0
ALF
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
4 - 1
ADA
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ALH
4 - 0
ALI
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALB
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ALH
0 - 5
NEW
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 3
ALH
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALS
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |