AFC Champions . Last 16
Global 5-4
Al Nasr Dubai vs Tractor Sazi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 1
FUJ
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
FKL
0 - 0
ALN
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 1
ALN
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 1
AHD
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 1
FKL
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tractor Sazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
TRA
5 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
EST
2 - 3
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 2
ALH
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
4 - 2
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SIA
2 - 1
TRA
22%
31%
47%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |