CAF Champions . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Al-Merreikh SC vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OBA
0 - 1
ALM
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
KAB
2 - 1
ALM
83%
12%
4%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 0
ALH
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
KHA
1 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
KAB
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
4 - 1
STA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ETO
0 - 1
ESP
52%
28%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 1
COS
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
ZAR
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 1
ASD
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |