Confederation Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Al-Masry vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
5 - 3
NEM
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
MIS
0 - 0
ALM
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALH
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
HCB
1 - 1
ALM
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
USM
3 - 0
ALQ
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
USM
3 - 1
BBA
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 0
USM
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
USM
2 - 1
GOR
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HUS
0 - 1
USM
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |