Al-Karma vs Naft Al-Basra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
50.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+264%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Karma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
HUD
0 - 3
KAR
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 70 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 0
NSC
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ZAK
2 - 0
KAR
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 70 | 47 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
NAF
3 - 2
KAR
68%
20%
12%
|
23 | 70 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 1
ALQ
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
Naft Al-Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NAB
0 - 2
ALT
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
NAB
0 - 0
KAR
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
NAB
0 - 0
ALN
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 0
NAB
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
NAB
3 - 1
HUD
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |