Iraq League Normal Season Round 19

Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Al-Basra analysis

Al Kahrabaa Naft Al-Basra
73 ELO 69
-6.5% Tilt -5.3%
1593º General ELO ranking 1671º
15º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
45.9%
Al Kahrabaa
28.1%
Draw
25.9%
Naft Al-Basra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
Al Kahrabaa
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.9%
Win probability
Naft Al-Basra
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Kahrabaa
-4%
-31%
Naft Al-Basra

ELO progression

Al Kahrabaa
Naft Al-Basra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Kahrabaa
Al Kahrabaa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2024
DUH
Duhok
1 - 1
Al Kahrabaa
ALK
45%
28%
28%
72 72 0 0
01 Mar. 2024
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
3 - 0
Naft Al-Wasat
WAS
44%
28%
28%
72 72 0 0
27 Feb. 2024
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
0 - 1
Karbala
KAR
48%
27%
25%
72 69 3 0
24 Feb. 2024
ALS
Al Shorta
2 - 1
Al Kahrabaa
ALK
45%
27%
28%
72 72 0 0
20 Feb. 2024
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
0 - 1
Al Ahed
ALA
72%
18%
10%
74 55 19 -2

Matches

Naft Al-Basra
Naft Al-Basra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2024
NAB
Naft Al-Basra
1 - 2
Al Karkh
KAR
42%
30%
28%
70 72 2 0
01 Mar. 2024
ALQ
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 - 0
Naft Al-Basra
NAB
55%
24%
21%
70 72 2 0
24 Feb. 2024
NAB
Naft Al-Basra
0 - 2
Zakho
ZAK
43%
30%
27%
70 72 2 0
21 Feb. 2024
ALN
Al Naft
0 - 0
Naft Al-Basra
NAB
46%
28%
26%
70 72 2 0
15 Feb. 2024
NAB
Naft Al-Basra
2 - 0
Duhok
DUH
39%
30%
31%
69 72 3 +1