AFC Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Al-Jazeera vs Al-Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Jazeera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
ALJ
3 - 0
ALJ
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
ALK
1 - 2
ALJ
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
ALJ
2 - 0
ALF
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
SHA
0 - 4
ALJ
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
ALJ
3 - 0
NAJ
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
ALJ
3 - 0
ALJ
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
TAL
0 - 0
ALJ
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
ALJ
2 - 1
TAL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SHO
0 - 0
ALJ
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
ALJ
2 - 2
ALN
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |