AFC Champions League Elite Grupo D round 4

Al-Jaish vs Al Zawraa analysis

Al-Jaish Al Zawraa
55 ELO 73
-1.8% Tilt -8.4%
4575º General ELO ranking 1491º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.7%
Al-Jaish
20.5%
Draw
61.8%
Al Zawraa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
Al-Jaish
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.8%
Win probability
Al Zawraa
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Jaish
-12%
+35%
Al Zawraa

ELO progression

Al-Jaish
Al Zawraa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Jaish
Al-Jaish
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2005
ALK
Al-Karamah
1 - 0
Al-Jaish
ALJ
48%
26%
26%
55 55 0 0
05 Apr. 2005
ALZ
Al Zawraa
1 - 5
Al-Jaish
ALJ
78%
14%
8%
57 73 16 -2
01 Apr. 2005
ALJ
Al-Jaish
3 - 1
Qardaha
QAR
51%
25%
25%
55 55 0 +2
25 Mar. 2005
TAL
Taliya
1 - 0
Al-Jaish
ALJ
50%
25%
25%
55 55 0 0
20 Mar. 2005
ALJ
Al-Jaish
1 - 0
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
ALI
52%
25%
23%
55 55 0 0

Matches

Al Zawraa
Al Zawraa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2005
ALZ
Al Zawraa
2 - 0
Al Shualah
ALS
70%
19%
11%
72 64 8 0
05 Apr. 2005
ALZ
Al Zawraa
1 - 5
Al-Jaish
ALJ
78%
14%
8%
73 57 16 -1
16 Mar. 2005
PAK
Pakhtakor
1 - 2
Al Zawraa
ALZ
55%
21%
24%
73 69 4 0
08 Mar. 2005
ALZ
Al Zawraa
1 - 2
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
43%
25%
33%
73 78 5 0
28 Feb. 2005
ALZ
Al Zawraa
6 - 0
Babil
BFC
62%
22%
16%
72 67 5 +1