Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
ITT
3 - 0
AST
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ITT
2 - 3
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
AAB
2 - 0
ITT
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
ITT
2 - 2
ANB
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 1
ITT
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 1
ALK
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 1
WYD
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
WYD
1 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ITT
2 - 3
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 2
ANB
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |