Al-Hilal SFC vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 3
ALH
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALS
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALH
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALT
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALW
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
20%
24%
57%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 4
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 0
ASV
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TOT
1 - 2
NEW
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |