Al Hilal vs Ngom Egdabya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Hilal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ALH
1 - 0
SAJ
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALH
54%
27%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ASF
1 - 2
ALH
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
ALH
3 - 1
DSC
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ANB
1 - 1
ALH
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ngom Egdabya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 1
KHS
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 0
ATB
39%
29%
33%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
3 - 0
NGO
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SAJ
0 - 1
NGO
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 1
ALA
26%
30%
44%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |