Al-Gharafa vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ADS
3 - 1
GHA
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
AHL
0 - 1
GHA
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GHA
2 - 0
ALS
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 3
GHA
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 4
GHA
31%
23%
47%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
UMM
1 - 1
AHL
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
UMM
1 - 1
KHO
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UMM
2 - 2
RAY
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
WAK
5 - 0
UMM
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
3 - 0
UMM
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |