Al Arabi vs Al Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
3º
2º
10
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 20 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
84.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Arabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
HAT
2 - 1
ALA
44%
23%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALJ
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 2
ALS
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
ALK
1 - 0
ALA
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Al Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
ALS
3 - 2
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALS
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALS
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALJ
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BUR
1 - 1
ALS
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |