Al-Ahly vs Wadi Degla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
4 - 0
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
GHA
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 1
MIS
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GEI
1 - 1
ALA
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wadi Degla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
WAD
1 - 2
SMO
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
WAD
2 - 1
MOK
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NBE
1 - 1
WAD
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
2 - 1
WAD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
WAD
0 - 2
GOU
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +2 |