Al-Ahly vs Ismaily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALA
3 - 0
ELS
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ELR
2 - 1
ALA
34%
31%
35%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 1
COT
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
ALA
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAM
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ISM
2 - 1
PET
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 2
ISM
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ISM
2 - 2
MIS
54%
28%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 2
ISM
34%
29%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ISM
1 - 1
WAD
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |