Al-Ahly vs Ghazl El Mehalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 1
MIS
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GEI
1 - 1
ALA
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ALA
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
ABO
89%
8%
2%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SMO
1 - 1
GHA
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 2
GHA
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GHA
2 - 0
BSC
81%
15%
4%
|
57 | 23 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAM
0 - 3
GHA
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
GHA
1 - 0
ABO
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |