CAF Champions . Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Al-Ahly vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALA
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 0
RSB
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
ALA
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
ZAM
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALA
36%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
ETO
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
ETO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 0
ESP
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |